Number of close Congressional elections is double the average between 2014 and 2016

Number of close Congressional elections is double the average between 2014 and 2016

Seal of the United States Congress.svgAccording to Ballotpedia, in 103 Congressional races, the winning candidate’s margin of victory was less than 10 percent. In 50 races, the margin of victory was less than 5 percent. In other words, winning by 10 percent means a 55 to 45 percent spread or closer. A 5 percent win would be 52 to 47 percent.

Of the 103 races with a margin of victory less than 10 percent, 13 were for U.S. Senate and 90 were for the U.S. House. The Democratic candidate won 52 of these elections, while the Republican candidate won 50. The outcome of the election in California’s 21st Congressional District remains uncalled.

The 103 races is more than double the average number of races decided by less than 10 percent in 2016 and 2014. In 2016, there were 42 races where the margin of victory was 10 percent or less of the total votes cast. In 2014, there were 56. The results were split evenly between the major parties in 2016. In 2014, the Democratic candidate won 32 of these elections, while the Republican candidate won 24.

In the 50 races decided by less than 5 percent this year, five were for the U.S. Senate, while 45 were for the U.S. House. The Democratic candidate won 26 of these elections, while the Republican candidate won 23. Again, one race remains undecided.

In 2016, there were 22 races where the margin of victory was 5 percent or less of the total votes cast. In 2014, there were 31. In 2016, the Democratic candidate won 14 of these elections, while the Republican candidate won eight. In 2014, the Democratic candidate won 17 of these elections, while the Republican candidate won 14.

 

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