Here’s how Election Day 2024 might unfold around the US and in New York

By Samuel Chamberlain

Well, here we are again.

Exactly 728 days after the 2022 midterm elections, Americans are heading to the polls to choose their 47th president, all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 34 members of the US Senate.

It’s a night that will set the course of America for the next four years as around 150 million of our fellow countrymen are set to choose between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris to be the next commander in chief.

People voting early in Manhattan on Nov. 3, 2024.
People voting early in Manhattan on Nov. 3, 2024.Niyi Fote/TheNEWS2 via ZUMA Press Wire

We understand if you feel overwhelmed and we’re here to help.

Below, The Post lays out the complete election night guide.

What do the final polls say?

If the polls are accurate, this will be the closest popular vote race since the famed 1960 election between John F. Kennedy and Richard Nixon.

According to the RealClearPolitics polling average, Harris leads Trump by 0.1% nationwide.

Vice President Kamala Harris at a campaign rally at Muhlenberg College in Allentown, Pennsylvania on Nov. 4, 2024.
Vice President Kamala Harris at a campaign rally at Muhlenberg College in Allentown, Pennsylvania on Nov. 4, 2024.Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
Former President Donald Trump speaking at a rally in Raleigh on Nov. 4, 2024.
Former President Donald Trump speaking at a rally in Raleigh on Nov. 4, 2024.AP Photo/Evan Vucci

No Republican nominee has won the popular vote since 2004, a streak the 78-year-old Trump will be eager to break.

When do the polls close in the most important states?

There are seven swing states that will determine the outcome of the presidential race: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Last polls will close at 7 p.m. ET in Georgia; 7:30 p.m. in North Carolina; 8 p.m. in Pennsylvania, 9 p.m. in Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin; 10 p.m. in Nevada.

What are the most important non-presidential races?

Republicans could win up to 57 Senate seats if all battleground results go their way tonight. Here’s a rundown of those races, from most likely to least likely to flip to GOP control.

Montana: Sen. Jon Tester v. Tim Sheehy

Polls indicate it will take a miracle for the three-term Democrat Tester to keep his seat against the Republican Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL

Ohio: Sen. Sherrod Brown v. Bernie Moreno

Tester’s fellow member of the Democratic Class of 2006 is hoping enough of his Trump-leaning working class base will stay loyal to propel him back to Washington for a fourth term.

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